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AC资本市场:标普500指数再创新高,美元兑日元决战140关口

2024-09-18 14:09:42

美国零售销售保持强劲,助燃50基点降息计价

美国零售销售为0.1%,高于预期的-0.2%,这使得美联储对政策决策的看法不一。同时,美国核心零售销售为0.1%,低于预期的0.2%和之前的0.4%。美国核心零售销售排除了波动较大的行业的销售额总值。因此,市场中不乏预计美联储将寻求50个基点降息的参与者,尽管许多联邦公开市场委员会实际降息50基点的概率并不显著。

在此消息发布后,欧元兑美元跌至1.1150附近,并结合下降趋势线。价格可能会进一步下跌,测试旗形的上部趋势线和1.1050水平。

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欧元兑美元日线图

美元兑日元从140的枢轴区上涨,该区域今年1月曾是强劲的需求水平。价格可能很快会测试142的枢轴阻力位。

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美元兑日元日线图

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加拿大CPI低于预期,通胀显著放缓

加拿大CPI为-0.2%,低于预期的0%和之前的0.4%,这对经济来说是个令人担忧的信号。尽管CPI在8月同比上涨了2%,但这是自2021年初以来最慢的增长率。此外,年同比CPI从7月的2.5%下降,主要由于汽油、航空运输和服装价格下降。

数据发布后,美元/加元正在测试之前的1.3610高点,附近还有200日移动平均线(蓝线)作为潜在阻力因素。如果美元/加元下跌,可能会在与1.3575水平交汇的上升趋势线上找到支撑。

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美元兑加元日线图

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